Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.294384 11.756483 13.360020 15.250449 17.419907 19.833775 22.726224
2025-12-21 8.179021 10.059313 12.283654 15.113866 18.626522 22.852512 28.337294
2025-12-28 7.232361 9.375360 12.050665 15.645539 20.365498 26.373251 34.635701
2026-01-04 6.501117 8.799260 11.798074 16.013326 21.811974 29.546887 40.712171
2026-01-11 5.990599 8.418640 11.711515 16.526065 23.425535 33.016166 47.464510
2026-01-18 5.297093 7.692949 11.053895 16.141172 23.699070 34.594843 51.643403
2026-01-25 4.757735 7.119764 10.536995 15.875928 24.074144 36.295385 56.097505
2026-02-01 4.305879 6.623910 10.074214 15.625049 24.413664 37.928752 60.551230
2026-02-08 3.915865 6.180572 9.641931 15.364862 24.689107 39.451699 64.928946
2026-02-15 3.577146 5.783491 9.240472 15.105013 24.921248 40.896107 69.274287
2026-02-22 3.465796 5.738121 9.386916 15.736380 26.652393 44.908979 78.287786
2026-03-01 3.287336 5.564693 9.306397 15.974561 27.729796 47.901223 85.794894
2026-03-08 3.071378 5.313048 9.079676 15.950905 28.366275 50.215253 92.372458
2026-03-15 2.855819 5.043630 8.799550 15.806461 28.770182 52.145186 98.424554
2026-03-22 2.773481 5.000994 8.908299 16.363518 30.489036 56.590158 109.629887
2026-03-29 2.670780 4.912100 8.925223 16.748838 31.914155 60.602286 120.375839
2026-04-05 2.596913 4.869402 9.020787 17.286050 33.669308 65.383665 133.108146
2026-04-12 2.403075 4.585312 8.644831 16.882784 33.546212 66.485336 138.418451
2026-04-19 2.242229 4.351851 8.346382 16.604888 33.644422 68.024989 144.774760
2026-04-26 2.096802 4.137259 8.067709 16.342050 33.746532 69.571676 151.279320
2026-05-03 1.962183 3.933939 7.795731 16.069467 33.801632 71.017107 157.687507
2026-05-10 1.838340 3.743162 7.534563 15.797247 33.831423 72.403951 164.085437
2026-05-17 1.819418 3.766310 7.708760 16.458686 35.932371 78.437011 181.699940